Unbiased estimation following a group sequential test

被引:49
作者
Liu, AY
Hall, WJ
机构
[1] St Jude Childrens Res Hosp, Dept Biostat & Epidemiol, Memphis, TN 38134 USA
[2] Univ Rochester, Med Ctr, Dept Biostat, Rochester, NY 14642 USA
关键词
Brownian motion; truncation-adaptation;
D O I
10.1093/biomet/86.1.71
中图分类号
Q [生物科学];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
It is shown that, in a group sequential test about the drift theta of a Brownian motion X(t) stopped at time T,the sufficient statistic (T, X(T)) is not complete for theta. There exist infinitely many unbiased estimators of theta and none has uniformly minimum variance. A truncation-adaptable criterion is proposed, and the uniformly-minimum-variance estimator among all truncation-adaptable unbiased estimators is found. This estimator is identical to estimators of Ferebee (1983) and Emerson & Fleming (1990).
引用
收藏
页码:71 / 78
页数:8
相关论文
共 10 条
[1]  
[Anonymous], 1941, LAPLACE TRANSFORM
[2]   DEFINING CURVATURE OF A STATISTICAL PROBLEM (WITH APPLICATIONS TO 2ND ORDER EFFICIENCY) [J].
EFRON, B .
ANNALS OF STATISTICS, 1975, 3 (06) :1189-1217
[3]   COMPUTATION OF THE UNIFORM MINIMUM VARIANCE UNBIASED ESTIMATOR OF A NORMAL-MEAN FOLLOWING A GROUP SEQUENTIAL TRIAL [J].
EMERSON, SS .
COMPUTERS AND BIOMEDICAL RESEARCH, 1993, 26 (01) :68-73
[4]   PARAMETER-ESTIMATION FOLLOWING GROUP SEQUENTIAL HYPOTHESIS-TESTING [J].
EMERSON, SS ;
FLEMING, TR .
BIOMETRIKA, 1990, 77 (04) :875-892
[5]   AN UNBIASED ESTIMATOR FOR THE DRIFT OF A STOPPED WIENER PROCESS [J].
FEREBEE, B .
JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY, 1983, 20 (01) :94-102
[6]   SEQUENTIAL MONITORING OF CLINICAL-TRIALS - THE ROLE OF INFORMATION AND BROWNIAN-MOTION [J].
LAN, KKG ;
ZUCKER, DM .
STATISTICS IN MEDICINE, 1993, 12 (08) :753-765
[7]  
Lehmann E. L., 1983, THEORY POINT ESTIMAT
[8]  
Liu A., 1998, SEQUENTIAL ANAL, V17, P91
[9]   ON THE BIAS OF MAXIMUM-LIKELIHOOD-ESTIMATION FOLLOWING A SEQUENTIAL TEST [J].
WHITEHEAD, J .
BIOMETRIKA, 1986, 73 (03) :573-581
[10]  
Whitehead J., 1997, DESIGN ANAL SEQUENTI