Health impacts and economic losses assessment of the 2013 severe haze event in Beijing area

被引:216
作者
Gao, Meng [1 ]
Guttikunda, Sarath K. [2 ]
Carmichael, Gregory R. [1 ]
Wang, Yuesi [3 ]
Liu, Zirui [3 ]
Stanier, Charles O. [1 ]
Saide, Pablo E. [1 ]
Yu, Man [1 ,4 ]
机构
[1] Univ Iowa, Ctr Global & Reg Environm Res, Iowa City, IA 52242 USA
[2] Desert Res Inst, Div Atmospher Sci, Reno, NV 89512 USA
[3] Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Atmospher Phys, State Key Lab Atmospher Boundary Layer Phys & Atm, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China
[4] Argonne Natl Lab, Math & Comp Sci Div, Argonne, IL 60439 USA
关键词
Haze; PM2.5; Beijing; WRF-Chem; Health impacts; Economic losses; PARTICULATE AIR-POLLUTION; CHINESE CITIES; GLOBAL BURDEN; URBAN AREAS; EXPOSURE; DISEASE; PM2.5; MODEL; PM10; FOG;
D O I
10.1016/j.scitotenv.2015.01.005
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
Haze is a serious air pollution problem in China, especially in Beijing and surrounding areas, affecting visibility, public health and regional climate. In this study, the Weather Research and Forecasting-Chemistry (WRF-Chem) model was used to simulate PM2.5 (particulate matters with aerodynamic diameter <= 2.5 mu m) concentrations during the 2013 severe haze event in Beijing, and health impacts and health-related economic losses were calculated based on model results. Compared with surface monitoring data, the model results reflected pollution concentrations accurately (correlation coefficients between simulated and measured PM2.5 were 0.7, 0.4, 0.5 and 0.6 in Beijing, Tianjin, Xianghe and Xinglong stations, respectively). Health impacts assessments show that the PM2.5 concentrations in January might cause 690 (95% confidence interval (CI): (490, 890)) premature deaths, 45,350(95% CI: (21,640, 57,860)) acute bronchitis and 23,720 (95% Cl: (17,090, 29,710)) asthma cases in Beijing area. Results of the economic losses assessments suggest that the haze in January 2013 might lead to 253.8 (95% CI: (170.2, 331.2)) million US$ losses, accounting for 0.08% (95% CI: (0.05%, 0.1%)) of the total 2013 annual gross domestic product (GDP) of Beijing. (C) 2015 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:553 / 561
页数:9
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