The big flood: North Sea storm surge

被引:60
作者
McRobie, A
Spencer, T
Gerritsen, H
机构
[1] Univ Cambridge, Ctr Risk Built Environm, Martin Ctr, Cambridge CB2 2EB, England
[2] Univ Cambridge, Dept Engn, Cambridge CB2 1PZ, England
[3] Univ Cambridge, Cambridge Coastal Res Unit, Dept Geog, Cambridge CB2 2EN, England
[4] WL Delft Hydraul, NL-2600 MH Delft, Netherlands
来源
PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY A-MATHEMATICAL PHYSICAL AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES | 2005年 / 363卷 / 1831期
关键词
flood protection; ocean atmosphere modelling; sea-level rise; extreme-event statistics; flood-risk management; climate-change uncertainty analysis;
D O I
10.1098/rsta.2005.1567
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
In the 50 years since the catastrophic southern North Sea storm surge of 31 January-1 February 1953, there have been technological advances in the engineering of flood protection, increased understanding of physical processes in shallow seas and estuaries, and developments in the mathematical statistics of extreme events. This introductory paper reviews how the scientific understanding of surge events, their impacts and the human responses to them is evolving on many fronts, often across disciplinary boundaries. The question of how the long-term nature of the problem itself will be influenced by possible climate, land use and policy changes is addressed, along with their associated uncertainties.
引用
收藏
页码:1263 / 1270
页数:8
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