Meteor stream activity .3. Measurement of the first in a new series of Leonid outburst

In 1994 November, a shower of bright Leonid meteors signaled what is likely the first meteor outburst of Leonids associated with the upcoming return of comet P/Tempel-Tuttle to perihelion. Measurements of meteor activity and the meteor brightness distribution are presented. By comparing the present observation with those of past Leonid returns, a forecast is made of the time, the duration, the intensity, and the mean meteor brightness of Leonid outbursts that may occur if previously observed patterns are repeated in the forthcoming years.