The rise of developing Asia and the new economic order

被引:19
作者
Jorgenson, Dale W. [1 ]
Vu, Khuong M. [2 ]
机构
[1] Harvard Univ, Dept Econ, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA
[2] Natl Univ Singapore, Lee Kuan Yew Sch Publ Policy, Singapore 117548, Singapore
关键词
Growth; Information technology; Investment; Productivity;
D O I
10.1016/j.jpolmod.2011.06.004
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
This paper identifies emerging trends in the world economy during the next decade. The first is that China will overtake the U.S. in terms of gross domestic product (GDP), ending more than a century of U.S. leadership as the world's largest economy. The second is that Developing Asia, excluding Japan, will overtake the G7, a group of the seven largest industrialized economies established in 1975-76. Finally, India will overtake Japan, Russia will overtake Germany, and Brazil will overtake the U.K., leading to a New World Economic Order: China, the U.S., India. Japan, Russia, Germany, and Brazil. (C) 2011 Society for Policy Modeling. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:698 / 716
页数:19
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