Prognostic significance of serum creatinine and uric acid in older Chinese patients with isolated systolic hypertension

We examined the relation of serum creatinine and uric acid to mortality and cardiovascular disease in older (aged greater than or equal to 60 years) Chinese patients with isolated systolic hypertension (systolic/diastolic blood pressure greater than or equal to 160/< 95 mm Hg). We used Cox regression to correlate outcome with baseline serum creatinine and uric acid measured in 1880 and 1873, respectively, of the 2394 patients enrolled in the placebo-controlled Systolic Hypertension in China (Syst-China) Trial. Median follow-up was 3 years. In multiple Cox regression analysis with adjustment for gender, age, active treatment, and other significant covariates, serum creatinine was significantly associated with a worse prognosis. The relative hazard rates (95% CIs) associated with a 20-mu mol/L increase in serum creatinine for all-cause, cardiovascular, and stroke mortality were 1.16 (1.05 to 1.27, P=0.003), 1.15 (1.01 to 1.31, P=0.03), and 1.37 (1.13 to 1.65, P=0.001), respectively. In a similar analysis, which also accounted for serum creatinine, serum uric acid was also significantly and independently associated with excess mortality of cardiovascular disease and stroke. The relative hazard rates associated with a 50-mu mol/L increase of serum uric acid were 1.14 (1.02 to 1.27, P=0.02) for cardiovascular mortality and 1.34 (1.14 to 1.57, P <0.001) for fatal stroke. In conclusion, in older Chinese patients with isolated systolic hypertension, serum creatinine and serum uric acid were predictors of mortality.