Testing the fidelity of methods used in proxy-based reconstructions of past climate

被引：125

作者：

Mann, ME

Rutherford, S

Wahl, E

Ammann, C

机构：

[1] Univ Virginia, Dept Environm Sci, Charlottesville, VA 22903 USA

[2] Roger Williams Univ, Dept Environm Sci, Bristol, RI 02809 USA

[3] Alfred Univ, Dept Environm Studies, Alfred, NY 14802 USA

[4] Natl Ctr Atmospher Res, Climate Global Dynam Div, Boulder, CO 80307 USA

来源：

JOURNAL OF CLIMATE | 2005年 / 18卷 / 20期

关键词：

D O I：

10.1175/JCLI3564.1

中图分类号：

P4 [大气科学（气象学）];

学科分类号：

0706 ; 070601 ;

摘要：

Two widely used statistical approaches to reconstructing past climate histories from climate "proxy" data such as tree rings, corals, and ice cores are investigated using synthetic "pseudoproxy" data derived from a simulation of forced climate changes over the past 1200 yr. These experiments suggest that both statistical approaches should yield reliable reconstructions of the true climate history within estimated uncertainties, given estimates of the signal and noise attributes of actual proxy data networks.

引用

页码：4097 / 4107

页数：11

共 37 条

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