Status and improvements of coupled general circulation models

被引:41
作者
Grassl, H [1 ]
机构
[1] Max Planck Inst Meteorol, D-20146 Hamburg, Germany
关键词
D O I
10.1126/science.288.5473.1991
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
Coupled general circulation models (CGCMs) integrate our knowledge about atmospheric and oceanic circulation, Different versions of CGCMs are used to provide a better understanding of natural climate variability on interannual and decadal time scales, for extended weather forecasting, and for making seasonal climate scenario projections. They also help to reconstruct past climates, especially abrupt climate change processes. Model intercomparisons, new test data (mainly from satellites), more powerful computers, and parameterizations of atmospheric and oceanic processes have improved CGCM performance to such a degree that the model results are now used by many decision-makers, including governments. They are also fundamental for the detection and attribution of climate change.
引用
收藏
页码:1991 / 1997
页数:7
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