Transmission dynamics and control of Ebola virus disease outbreak in Nigeria, July to September 2014

被引：110

作者：

Fasina, F. O. ^{[1
]}

Shittu, A. ^{[2
]}

Lazarus, D. ^{[3
]}

Tomori, O. ^{[4
]}

Simonsen, L. ^{[5
,6
]}

Viboud, C. ^{[6
]}

Chowell, G. ^{[6
,7
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Pretoria, Dept Prod Anim Studies, ZA-0002 Pretoria, South Africa

[2] Usmanu Danfodiyo Univ, Fac Vet Med, Dept Theriogenol & Anim Prod, Sokoto, Nigeria

[3] Natl Inst Vet Res, Viral Res Div, Vom, Plateau State, Nigeria

[4] Nigerian Acad Sci, Lagos, Nigeria

[5] George Washington Univ, Milken Inst Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Global Hlth, Washington, DC USA

[6] NIH, Fogarty Int Ctr, Div Int Epidemiol & Populat Studies, Bethesda, MD 20892 USA

[7] Arizona State Univ, Coll Liberal Arts & Sci, Sch Human Evolut & Social Change, Tempe, AZ USA

来源：

EUROSURVEILLANCE | 2014年 / 19卷 / 40期

基金：

美国国家科学基金会; 英国生物技术与生命科学研究理事会; 美国国家卫生研究院;

关键词：

HEMORRHAGIC-FEVER; CONGO;

D O I：

10.2807/1560-7917.ES2014.19.40.20920

中图分类号：

R51 [传染病];

学科分类号：

100401 ;

摘要：

We analyse up-to-date epidemiological data of the Ebola virus disease outbreak in Nigeria as of 1 October 2014 in order to estimate the case fatality rate, the proportion of healthcare workers infected and the transmission tree. We also model the impact of control interventions on the size of the epidemic. Results indicate that Nigeria's quick and forceful implementation of control interventions was determinant in controlling the outbreak rapidly and avoiding a far worse scenario in this country.

引用

页码：11 / 17

页数：7

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