A new model for time-series forecasting using radial basis functions and exogenous data

被引:15
作者
Górriz, JM
Puntonet, CG
Salmerón, M
de la Rosa, JJG
机构
[1] Univ Cadiz, Dept Syst Engn & Automat, Cadiz, Spain
[2] Univ Granada, Dept Comp Architecture & Comp Technol, E-18071 Granada, Spain
关键词
D O I
10.1007/s00521-004-0412-5
中图分类号
TP18 [人工智能理论];
学科分类号
081104 ; 0812 ; 0835 ; 1405 ;
摘要
In this paper, we present a new model for time-series forecasting using radial basis functions (RBFs) as a unit of artificial neural networks (ANNs), which allows the inclusion of exogenous information (EI) without additional pre-processing. We begin by summarizing the most well-known El techniques used ad hoc, i.e., principal component analysis (PCA) and independent component analysis (ICA). We analyze the advantages and disadvantages of these techniques in time-series forecasting using Spanish bank and company stocks. Then, we describe a new hybrid model for time-series forecasting which combines ANNs with genetic algorithms (GAs). We also describe the possibilities when implementing the model on parallel processing systems.
引用
收藏
页码:101 / 111
页数:11
相关论文
共 42 条
[11]  
Hastie T., 2000, ELEMENTS STAT LEARNI
[12]   Independent component analysis:: algorithms and applications [J].
Hyvärinen, A ;
Oja, E .
NEURAL NETWORKS, 2000, 13 (4-5) :411-430
[13]   The self-organizing map [J].
Kohonen, T .
NEUROCOMPUTING, 1998, 21 (1-3) :1-6
[14]  
Kuhn H., 1951, P 2 BERK S MATH STAT, P481, DOI DOI 10.1007/BF01582292
[15]   Genetic algorithms:: bridging the convergence gap [J].
Lozano, JA ;
Larrañaga, P ;
Graña, M ;
Albizuri, FX .
THEORETICAL COMPUTER SCIENCE, 1999, 229 (1-2) :11-22
[16]   Blind multiuser separation of instantaneous mixture algorithm based on geometrical concepts [J].
Mansour, A ;
Ohnishi, N ;
Puntonet, CG .
SIGNAL PROCESSING, 2002, 82 (08) :1155-1175
[17]  
MASTERS T, 1995, EURAL NOVEL HYBRID A
[18]   GENETIC ALGORITHMS APPROACH TO A NEGOTIATION SUPPORT SYSTEM [J].
MATWIN, S ;
SZAPIRO, T ;
HAIGH, K .
IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON SYSTEMS MAN AND CYBERNETICS, 1991, 21 (01) :102-114
[19]  
Michalewicz Z., 1992, GENETIC ALGORITHMS D
[20]   Fast Learning in Networks of Locally-Tuned Processing Units [J].
Moody, John ;
Darken, Christian J. .
NEURAL COMPUTATION, 1989, 1 (02) :281-294