Two SIS epidemiologic models with delays

被引:114
作者
Hethcote, HW [1 ]
van den Driessche, P
机构
[1] Univ Iowa, Dept Math, Iowa City, IA 52242 USA
[2] Univ Victoria, Dept Math & Stat, Victoria, BC V8W 3P4, Canada
关键词
epidemiologic modeling; SIS model; delay; threshold; Hopf bifurcation;
D O I
10.1007/s002850050003
中图分类号
Q [生物科学];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
The SIS epidemiologic models have a delay corresponding to the infectious period, and disease-related deaths, so that the population size is variable. The population dynamics structures are either logistic or recruitment with natural deaths. Here the thresholds and equilibria are determined, and stabilities are examined. In a similar SIS model with exponential population dynamics, the delay destabilized the endemic equilibrium and led to periodic solutions. In the model with logistic dynamics, periodic solutions in the infectious fraction can occur as the population approaches extinction for a small set of parameter values.
引用
收藏
页码:3 / 26
页数:24
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