Priors from general equilibrium models for vars

被引:220
作者
Del Negro, M
Schorfheide, F
机构
[1] Univ Penn, Dept Econ, Philadelphia, PA 19104 USA
[2] Fed Reserve Bank Atlanta, Dept Res, Atlanta, GA USA
关键词
D O I
10.1111/j.1468-2354.2004.00139.x
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
This article uses a simple New Keynesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model as a prior for a vector autoregression, and shows that the resulting model is competitive with standard benchmarks in terms of forecasting, and can be used for policy analysis.
引用
收藏
页码:643 / 673
页数:31
相关论文
共 36 条
[21]  
LUCAS RE, 1976, CARNEGIEROCHESTER C, V1
[22]   Minimum distance estimation of nonstationary time series models [J].
Moon, HR ;
Schorfheide, F .
ECONOMETRIC THEORY, 2002, 18 (06) :1385-1407
[23]  
Robertson J. C., 2002, FORECASTING USING RE
[24]   2 MODELS OF MEASUREMENTS AND THE INVESTMENT ACCELERATOR [J].
SARGENT, TJ .
JOURNAL OF POLITICAL ECONOMY, 1989, 97 (02) :251-287
[25]   Loss function-based evaluation of DSGE models [J].
Schorfheide, F .
JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECONOMETRICS, 2000, 15 (06) :645-670
[26]   Solving Linear Rational Expectations Models [J].
Sims C.A. .
Computational Economics, 2002, 20 (1-2) :1-20
[27]   MACROECONOMICS AND REALITY [J].
SIMS, CA .
ECONOMETRICA, 1980, 48 (01) :1-48
[28]   Bayesian methods for dynamic multivariate models [J].
Sims, CA ;
Zha, T .
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC REVIEW, 1998, 39 (04) :949-968
[29]   MODELING MODEL UNCERTAINTY [J].
Smets, Frank ;
Wouters, Raf .
JOURNAL OF THE EUROPEAN ECONOMIC ASSOCIATION, 2003, 1 (05) :1123-1175
[30]   ESTIMATING NONLINEAR TIME-SERIES MODELS USING SIMULATED VECTOR AUTOREGRESSIONS [J].
SMITH, AA .
JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECONOMETRICS, 1993, 8 :S63-S84