Simulation of climate changes during the 21st century including stratospheric ozone.

被引:42
作者
Royer, JF
Cariolle, D
Chauvin, F
Déque, M
Douville, H
Hua, RM
Planton, S
Rascol, A
Ricard, JL
Melia, DSY
Sevault, F
Simon, P
Somot, S
Tyteca, S
Terray, L
Valcke, S
机构
[1] Meteo France, GMGEC, CNRM, F-31057 Toulouse 1, France
[2] CERFACS, F-31057 Toulouse 1, France
关键词
climate change; greenhouse effect; coupled model; stratosphere; ozone;
D O I
10.1016/S1631-0713(02)01728-5
中图分类号
P [天文学、地球科学];
学科分类号
07 ;
摘要
Two climate simulations of 150 years, performed with a coupled ocean/sea-ice/atmosphere model including stratospheric ozone. respectively with and without heterogeneous chemistry, simulate the tropospheric warming associated with an increase of the greenhouse effect of carbon dioxide and other trace gases since 1950 and their impact on sea-ice extent, as well as the stratospheric cooling and its impact on ozone concentration. The scenario with heterogeneous chemistry reproduces the formation of the ozone hole over the South Pole from the 1970s and its deepening until the present time, and shows that the ozone hole should progressively fill during the coming decades.
引用
收藏
页码:147 / 154
页数:8
相关论文
共 43 条
  • [1] Short-term climatic fluctuations and the interpretation of recent observations in terms of greenhouse effect
    André, JC
    Royer, LF
    [J]. COMPTES RENDUS DE L ACADEMIE DES SCIENCES SERIE II FASCICULE A-SCIENCES DE LA TERRE ET DES PLANETES, 1999, 328 (04): : 261 - 272
  • [2] [Anonymous], 1996, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
  • [3] Three-dimensional chemical model simulations of the ozone layer: 1979-2015
    Austin, J
    Knight, J
    Butchart, N
    [J]. QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY, 2000, 126 (565) : 1533 - 1556
  • [4] Transient CO2 experiment using the ARPEGE/OPAICE non flux corrected coupled model
    Barthelet, P
    Terray, L
    Valcke, S
    [J]. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 1998, 25 (13) : 2277 - 2280
  • [5] Global coupled simulations of climate change due to increased atmospheric CO2 concentration
    Barthelet, P
    Bony, S
    Braconnot, P
    Braun, A
    Cariolle, D
    Cohen-Solal, E
    Dufresne, JL
    Delecluse, P
    Deque, M
    Fairhead, L
    Filiberti, MA
    Forichon, M
    Grandpeix, JY
    Guilyardi, E
    Houssais, MN
    Imbard, M
    Le Treut, H
    Levy, C
    Li, ZX
    Madec, G
    Marquet, P
    Marti, O
    Planton, S
    Terray, L
    Thual, O
    Valcke, S
    [J]. COMPTES RENDUS DE L ACADEMIE DES SCIENCES SERIE II FASCICULE A-SCIENCES DE LA TERRE ET DES PLANETES, 1998, 326 (10): : 677 - 684
  • [6] Bossuet C, 1998, ANN GEOPHYS-ATM HYDR, V16, P238, DOI 10.1007/s00585-998-0238-z
  • [7] BOUCHER O, 1995, J CLIMATE, V8, P1403, DOI 10.1175/1520-0442(1995)008<1403:GEOTIA>2.0.CO
  • [8] 2
  • [9] THE SULFATE-CCN-CLOUD ALBEDO EFFECT - A SENSITIVITY STUDY WITH 2 GENERAL-CIRCULATION MODELS
    BOUCHER, O
    LOHMANN, U
    [J]. TELLUS SERIES B-CHEMICAL AND PHYSICAL METEOROLOGY, 1995, 47 (03) : 281 - 300
  • [10] A GENERAL-CIRCULATION MODEL SIMULATION OF THE SPRINGTIME ANTARCTIC OZONE DECREASE AND ITS IMPACT ON MIDLATITUDES
    CARIOLLE, D
    LASSERREBIGORRY, A
    ROYER, JF
    GELEYN, JF
    [J]. JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 1990, 95 (D2) : 1883 - 1898