Dynamics of influenza A drift: the linear three-strain model

被引:81
作者
Lin, J [1 ]
Andreasen, V
Levin, SA
机构
[1] Washington Coll, Dept Phys, Chestertown, MD 21620 USA
[2] Roskilde Univ, Dept Math & Phys, DK-4000 Roskilde, Denmark
[3] Princeton Univ, Dept Ecol & Evolutionary Biol, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA
关键词
influenza drift; multiple strains; cross-immunity;
D O I
10.1016/S0025-5564(99)00042-5
中图分类号
Q [生物科学];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
We analyte an epidemiological model consisting of a linear chain of three cocirculating influenza A strains that provide hosts exposed to a given strain with partial immune cross-protection against other strains. In the extreme case where infection with the middle strain prevents further infections from the other two strains, we reduce the model to a six-dimensional kernel capable of showing self-sustaining oscillations at relatively high levels of cross-protection. Dimensional reduction has been accomplished by a transformation of variables that preserves the eigenvalue responsible for the transition from damped oscillations to limit cycle solutions. (C) 1999 Elsevier Science Inc. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:33 / 51
页数:19
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