Age model estimation in paleoclimatic research: Fuzzy regression and radiocarbon uncertainties

被引:12
作者
Boreux, JJ [1 ]
Pesti, G [1 ]
Duckstein, L [1 ]
Nicolas, J [1 ]
机构
[1] UNIV ARIZONA,DEPT SYST & IND ENGN,TUCSON,AZ 85721
关键词
climate change; fuzzy linear regression; imprecision; radiocarbon dating; sediment layer; uncertainty;
D O I
10.1016/S0031-0182(96)00014-4
中图分类号
P9 [自然地理学];
学科分类号
0705 ; 070501 ;
摘要
A fuzzy linear regression-based method to relate the depth and age of sediment layers is described. Because algae, moss or local plants respond to climatic change, the age and depth of sediment layers are interrelated variables but the link between them is often imprecise. In most cases, due to the limited number of layers in a core (i.e., small number of data points), estimation of the slope and uncertainties in classical regression analysis does not take into account the uncertainties in radiocarbon dating. Here, fuzzy linear regression, which may be applied even to a very small data set, is utilized. The method, illustrated through a practical example, with eight data points, appears to be a promising tool in stratigraphic studies to link sediment age to layer depth and takes into account uncertainties from radiocarbon dating.
引用
收藏
页码:29 / 37
页数:9
相关论文
共 20 条
[11]  
Huntley B., 1988, VEGETATION HIST, P341
[12]  
MCINTYRE A, 1981, MAP CHART SERIES, P1
[13]  
Neter J., 1989, APPL LINEAR REGRESSI, P667
[14]   PALEOMAGNETIC RECORD OVER THE PAST 35,000 YEARS OF A SEDIMENT CORE FROM OFF SHIKOKU, SOUTHWEST JAPAN [J].
OHNO, M ;
HAMANO, Y ;
MURAYAMA, M ;
MATSUMOTO, E ;
IWAKURA, H ;
NAKAMURA, T ;
TAIRA, A .
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 1993, 20 (13) :1395-1398
[15]   VEGETATION AND CLIMATE CHANGE IN EASTERN NORTH-AMERICA SINCE THE LAST GLACIAL MAXIMUM [J].
PRENTICE, IC ;
BARTLEIN, PJ ;
WEBB, T .
ECOLOGY, 1991, 72 (06) :2038-2056
[16]   SOLAR VARIABILITY AND CLIMATIC-CHANGE DURING THE CURRENT MILLENNIUM [J].
STUIVER, M .
NATURE, 1980, 286 (5776) :868-871
[17]  
TANAKA H, 1982, IEEE T SYST MAN CYB, V12, P903
[18]  
VIERTL R, 1996, P J BERN UNESCO C PA
[19]   OUTLINE OF A NEW APPROACH TO ANALYSIS OF COMPLEX SYSTEMS AND DECISION PROCESSES [J].
ZADEH, LA .
IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON SYSTEMS MAN AND CYBERNETICS, 1973, SMC3 (01) :28-44
[20]  
Zimmermann H.J., 1985, FUZZY SET THEORY ITS, P363