Root mean square error (RMSE) or mean absolute error (MAE)? - Arguments against avoiding RMSE in the literature

被引:3702
作者
Chai, T. [1 ,2 ]
Draxler, R. R. [1 ]
机构
[1] NOAA, Air Resources Lab, Ctr Weather & Climate Predict, College Pk, MD 20740 USA
[2] Univ Maryland, Cooperat Inst Climate & Satellites, College Pk, MD 20740 USA
关键词
D O I
10.5194/gmd-7-1247-2014
中图分类号
P [天文学、地球科学];
学科分类号
07 ;
摘要
Both the root mean square error (RMSE) and the mean absolute error (MAE) are regularly employed in model evaluation studies. Willmott and Matsuura (2005) have suggested that the RMSE is not a good indicator of average model performance and might be a misleading indicator of average error, and thus the MAE would be a better metric for that purpose. While some concerns over using RMSE raised by Willmott and Matsuura (2005) and Willmott et al. (2009) are valid, the proposed avoidance of RMSE in favor of MAE is not the solution. Citing the aforementioned papers, many researchers chose MAE over RMSE to present their model evaluation statistics when presenting or adding the RMSE measures could be more beneficial. In this technical note, we demonstrate that the RMSE is not ambiguous in its meaning, contrary to what was claimed by Willmott et al. (2009). The RMSE is more appropriate to represent model performance than the MAE when the error distribution is expected to be Gaussian. In addition, we show that the RMSE satisfies the triangle inequality requirement for a distance metric, whereas Willmott et al. (2009) indicated that the sums-of-squares-based statistics do not satisfy this rule. In the end, we discussed some circumstances where using the RMSE will be more beneficial. However, we do not contend that the RMSE is superior over the MAE. Instead, a combination of metrics, including but certainly not limited to RMSEs and MAEs, are often required to assess model performance.
引用
收藏
页码:1247 / 1250
页数:4
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