Individual-based perspectives on R0

被引:145
作者
Keeling, MJ [1 ]
Grenfell, BT [1 ]
机构
[1] Dept Zool, Cambridge CB2 3EJ, England
基金
英国惠康基金;
关键词
D O I
10.1006/jtbi.1999.1064
中图分类号
Q [生物科学];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
Without doubt the basic reproductive ratio, R-0, is the most widely used quantity in epidemic theory. Standard compartmental models show how R-0 is related to the average age of infection, vaccination thresholds for eradication and equilibrium solutions. However, many of the basic formulae for R-0 break down when we consider transmission of infection to be a stochastic process involving discrete individuals. This paper clarifies why and when these differences arise and predicts when individual-based considerations are likely to be important in modelling infection dynamics. (C) 2000 Academic Press.
引用
收藏
页码:51 / 61
页数:11
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