Towards a limits of acceptability approach to the calibration of hydrological models: Extending observation error

被引：128

作者：

Liu, Yanli ^{[1
,2
]}

Freer, Jim ^{[3
,4
]}

Beven, Keith ^{[3
,5
]}

Matgen, Patrick ^{[6
]}

机构：

[1] Nanjing Hydraul Res Inst, Minist Water Resources China, Res Ctr Climate Change, Nanjing, Peoples R China

[2] Dalian Univ Technol, Inst Water Resources & Flood Control, Dalian, Peoples R China

[3] Univ Lancaster, Lancaster Environm Ctr, Lancaster, England

[4] Univ Bristol, Sch Geog Sci, Bristol, Avon, England

[5] Uppsala Univ, Geoctr, Uppsala, Sweden

[6] Publ Res Ctr, L-4422 Belvaux, Luxembourg

来源：

JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY | 2009年 / 367卷 / 1-2期

关键词：

GLUE; Equifinality; Dynamic TOPMODEL; Limits of acceptability; Hypothesis testing; FORECASTING UNCERTAINTY ASSESSMENT; MONTE-CARLO ASSESSMENT; GLUE METHODOLOGY; DYNAMIC TOPMODEL; INFORMATION; PREDICTION; EQUIFINALITY; INCOHERENCE; PARAMETERS;

D O I：

10.1016/j.jhydrol.2009.01.016

中图分类号：

TU [建筑科学];

学科分类号：

0813 ;

摘要：

Within the GLUE methodology, there are a number of advantages of taking a limits of acceptability approach to model evaluation for non-ideal applications where the strong assumptions of statistical identification might be difficult to justify. However, there is a question of how the limits of acceptability might be specified in a way that reflects the different Sources of uncertainty in the modeling process. Here, a novel method for identifying behavioural models in an extended GLUE methodology is developed and applied to an application of Dynamic TOPMODEL to the Attert catchment in Luxemburg with semi-distributed inputs to nested sub-catchments. The results raise some important issues about testing model structures as hypotheses of catchment responses. (C) 2009 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

引用

页码：93 / 103

页数：11

共 36 条

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