The Pacific decadal oscillation

被引:2080
作者
Mantua, NJ [1 ]
Hare, SR
机构
[1] Univ Washington, Joint Inst Study Atmosphere & Oceans, Seattle, WA 98195 USA
[2] Int Pacific Halibut Commiss, Seattle, WA 98195 USA
关键词
regime shift; climate impacts; PDO; IPO; NPO; fishery oceanography;
D O I
10.1023/A:1015820616384
中图分类号
P7 [海洋学];
学科分类号
0707 ;
摘要
The Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) has been described by some as a long-lived El Nino-like pattern of Pacific climate variability, and by others as a blend of two sometimes independent modes having distinct spatial and temporal characteristics of North Pacific sea surface temperature (SST) variability. A growing body of evidence highlights a strong tendency for PDO impacts in the Southern Hemisphere, with important surface climate anomalies over the mid-latitude South Pacific Ocean, Australia and South America. Several independent studies find evidence for just two full PDO cycles in the past century: "cool" PDO regimes prevailed from 1890-1924 and again from 1947-1976, while "warm" PDO regimes dominated from 1925-1946 and from 1977 through (at least) the mid-1990's. Interdecadal changes in Pacific climate have widespread impacts on natural systems, including water resources in the Americas and many marine fisheries in the North Pacific. Tree-ring and Pacific coral based climate reconstructions suggest that PDO variations-at a range of varying time scales-can be traced back to at least 1600, although there are important differences between different proxy reconstructions. While 20th Century PDO fluctuations were most energetic in two general periodicities-one from 15-to-25 years, and the other from 50-to-70 years-the mechanisms causing PDO variability remain unclear. To date, there is little in the way of observational evidence to support a mid-latitude coupled air-sea interaction for PDO, though there are several well-understood mechanisms that promote multi-year persistence in North Pacific upper ocean temperature anomalies.
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收藏
页码:35 / 44
页数:10
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