Changes in global net radiative imbalance 1985-2012

被引：159

作者：

Allan, Richard P. ^{[1
]}

Liu, Chunlei ^{[1
]}

Loeb, Norman G. ^{[2
]}

Palmer, Matthew D. ^{[3
]}

Roberts, Malcolm ^{[3
]}

Smith, Doug ^{[3
]}

Vidale, Pier-Luigi ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Reading, Dept Meteorol, Reading, Berks, England

[2] NASA, Langley Res Ctr, Hampton, VA 23665 USA

[3] Met Off, Exeter, Devon, England

来源：

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS | 2014年 / 41卷 / 15期

基金：

英国自然环境研究理事会;

关键词：

radiative flux; climate variability; satellite data; climate model; energy balance; temperature; DECADAL VARIABILITY; CLIMATE-CHANGE; WATER-VAPOR; MODEL; TEMPERATURE; CONFIGURATION; CIRCULATION; SIMULATION; PACIFIC; HIATUS;

D O I：

10.1002/2014GL060962

中图分类号：

P [天文学、地球科学];

学科分类号：

07 ;

摘要：

Combining satellite data, atmospheric reanalyses, and climate model simulations, variability in the net downward radiative flux imbalance at the top of Earth's atmosphere (N) is reconstructed and linked to recent climate change. Over the 1985-1999 period mean N (0.34 0.67Wm(-2)) is lower than for the 2000-2012 period (0.62 0.43Wm(-2), uncertainties at 90% confidence level) despite the slower rate of surface temperature rise since 2000. While the precise magnitude of N remains uncertain, the reconstruction captures interannual variability which is dominated by the eruption of Mount Pinatubo in 1991 and the El Nino Southern Oscillation. Monthly deseasonalized interannual variability in N generated by an ensemble of nine climate model simulations using prescribed sea surface temperature and radiative forcings and from the satellite-based reconstruction is significantly correlated (r approximate to 0.6) over the 1985-2012 period.

引用

页码：5588 / 5597

页数：10

共 57 条

[21] Tracing the upper ocean's "missing heat" [J].

Katsman, C. A. ;

van Oldenborgh, G. J. .

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2011, 38

[22] Reconciling anthropogenic climate change with observed temperature 1998-2008 [J].

Kaufmann, Robert K. ;

Kauppi, Heikki ;

Mann, Michael L. ;

Stock, James H. .

PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2011, 108 (29) :11790-11793

[23] A review of uncertainty in in situ measurements and data sets of sea surface temperature [J].

Kennedy, John J. .

REVIEWS OF GEOPHYSICS, 2014, 52 (01) :1-32

[24] Recent global-warming hiatus tied to equatorial Pacific surface cooling [J].

Kosaka, Yu ;

Xie, Shang-Ping .

NATURE, 2013, 501 (7467) :403-+

[25] Impact of the Atlanticmeridional overturning circulation on ocean heat storage and transient climate change [J].

Kostov, Yavor ;

Armour, Kyle C. ;

Marshall, John .

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2014, 41 (06) :2108-2116

[26]

L'Heureux ML, 2013, NAT CLIM CHANGE, V3, P571, DOI [10.1038/NCLIMATE1840, 10.1038/nclimate1840]

[27]

Loeb NG, 2012, NAT GEOSCI, V5, P110, DOI [10.1038/ngeo1375, 10.1038/NGEO1375]

[28] Estimating Global Ocean Heat Content Changes in the Upper 1800 m since 1950 and the Influence of Climatology Choice [J].

Lyman, John M. ;

Johnson, Gregory C. .

JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2014, 27 (05) :1945-1957

[29] On the Energy Exchange between Tropical Ocean Basins Related to ENSO [J].

Mayer, Michael ;

Haimberger, Leopold ;

Balmaseda, Magdalena A. .

JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2014, 27 (17) :6393-6403

[30] Externally Forced and Internally Generated Decadal Climate Variability Associated with the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation [J].

Meehl, Gerald A. ;

Hu, Aixue ;

Arblaster, Julie M. ;

Fasullo, John ;

Trenberth, Kevin E. .

JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2013, 26 (18) :7298-7310

← 1 2 3 4 5 6 →