Predictive accuracy in the neuroprediction of rearrest

被引：17

作者：

Aharoni, Eyal ^{[1
,2
]}

Mallett, Joshua ^{[1
]}

Vincent, Gina M. ^{[3
]}

Harenski, Carla L. ^{[2
]}

Calhoun, Vince D. ^{[2
,4
]}

Sinnott-Armstrong, Walter ^{[5
,6
]}

Gazzaniga, Michael S. ^{[7
]}

Kiehl, Kent A. ^{[2
,8
]}

机构：

[1] RAND Corp, Santa Monica, CA USA

[2] Nonprofit Mind Res Network, Albuquerque, NM 87106 USA

[3] Univ Massachusetts, Sch Med, Dept Psychiat, Worcester, MA 01655 USA

[4] Univ New Mexico, Dept Elect & Comp Engn, Albuquerque, NM 87131 USA

[5] Duke Univ, Dept Philosophy, Durham, NC USA

[6] Duke Univ, Kenan Inst Eth, Durham, NC USA

[7] Univ Calif Santa Barbara, Dept Psychol & Brain Sci, Santa Barbara, CA 93106 USA

[8] Univ New Mexico, Dept Psychol, Albuquerque, NM 87131 USA

来源：

SOCIAL NEUROSCIENCE | 2014年 / 9卷 / 04期

关键词：

Prediction; fMRI; Impulsivity; Anterior cingulate; Recidivism; PERFORMANCE;

D O I：

10.1080/17470919.2014.907201

中图分类号：

Q189 [神经科学];

学科分类号：

071006 ;

摘要：

A recently published study by the present authors reported evidence that functional changes in the anterior cingulate cortex within a sample of 96 criminal offenders who were engaged in a Go/No-Go impulse control task significantly predicted their rearrest following release from prison. In an extended analysis, we use discrimination and calibration techniques to test the accuracy of these predictions relative to more traditional models and their ability to generalize to new observations in both full and reduced models. Modest to strong discrimination and calibration accuracy were found, providing additional support for the utility of neurobiological measures in predicting rearrest.

引用

页码：332 / 336

页数：5

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