In meta-analyses of proportion studies, funnel plots were found to be an inaccurate method of assessing publication bias

被引:588
作者
Hunter, James P. [1 ]
Saratzis, Athanasios [2 ]
Sutton, Alex J. [3 ]
Boucher, Rebecca H. [3 ]
Sayers, Robert D. [4 ]
Bown, Matthew J. [4 ,5 ]
机构
[1] Leicester Royal Infirm, Vasc Surg ST5, Leicester LE1 5WW, Leics, England
[2] Univ Hosp Coventry & Warwickshire NHS Trust, Gen Surg ST3, Coventry, W Midlands, England
[3] Univ Leicester, Dept Hlth Sci, Leicester LE1 7RD, Leics, England
[4] Univ Leicester, Dept Cardiovasc Sci, Leicester LE1 7RD, Leics, England
[5] Univ Leicester, NIHR Leicester Cardiovasc Biomed Res Unit, Leicester LE1 7RD, Leics, England
关键词
Publication bias; Funnel plot; Proportional outcomes; Meta-analysis; Abdominal aortic aneurysm; Peri-operative mortality; ABDOMINAL AORTIC-ANEURYSMS; ENDOVASCULAR REPAIR; PERIOPERATIVE MORTALITY; HETEROGENEITY; EVAR; PERFORMANCE; ACCURACY; SURGERY; TRIALS;
D O I
10.1016/j.jclinepi.2014.03.003
中图分类号
R19 [保健组织与事业(卫生事业管理)];
学科分类号
摘要
Objective: To assess the utility of funnel plots in assessing publication bias (PB) in meta-analyses of proportion studies. Study Design and Setting: Meta-analysis simulation study and meta-analysis of published literature reporting pen-operative mortality after abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) repair. Data for the simulation study were stochastically generated. A literature search of Medline and Embase was performed to identify studies for inclusion in the published literature meta-analyses. Results: The simulation study demonstrated that conventionally constructed funnel plots (log odds vs. 1/standard error [USE]) for extreme proportional outcomes were asymmetric despite no PB. Alternative funnel plots constructed using study size rather than 1/SE showed no asymmetry for extreme proportional outcomes. When used in meta-analyses of the mortality of AAA repair, these alternative funnel plots highlighted the possibility for conventional funnel plots to demonstrate asymmetry when there was no evidence of PB. Conclusion: Conventional funnel plots used to assess for potential PB in meta-analyses are inaccurate for meta-analyses of proportion studies with low proportion outcomes. Funnel plots of study size against log odds may be a more accurate way of assessing for PB in these studies. (C) 2014 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:897 / 903
页数:7
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