Hot topic or hot air? Climate change and malaria resurgence in East African highlands

被引：106

作者：

Hay, SI

Rogers, DJ

Randolph, SE

Stern, DI

Cox, J

Shanks, GD

Snow, RW

机构：

[1] Univ Oxford, Dept Zool, Oxford OX1 3PS, England

[2] Rensselaer Polytech Inst, Dept Econ, Troy, NY 12180 USA

[3] Univ London London Sch Hyg & Trop Med, Dept Infect & Trop Dis, London WC1E 7HT, England

[4] Armed Forces Res Inst Med Sci, USA, Med Component, Bangkok 10400, Thailand

[5] Kenya Govt Med Res Ctr, Wellcome Trust Collaborat Programme, Nairobi 43640, Kenya

来源：

TRENDS IN PARASITOLOGY | 2002年 / 18卷 / 12期

基金：

英国惠康基金;

关键词：

D O I：

10.1016/S1471-4922(02)02374-7

中图分类号：

R38 [医学寄生虫学]; Q [生物科学];

学科分类号：

07 ; 0710 ; 09 ; 100103 ;

摘要：

Climate has a significant impact on malaria incidence and we have predicted that forecast climate changes might cause some modifications to the present global distribution of malaria close to its present boundaries. However, it is quite another matter to attribute recent resurgences of malaria in the highlands of East Africa to climate change. Analyses of malaria time-series at such sites have shown that malaria incidence has increased in the absence of co-varying changes in climate. We find the widespread increase in resistance of the malaria parasite to drugs and the decrease in vector control activities to be more likely driving forces behind the malaria resurgence.

引用

页码：530 / 534

页数：5