Segregation analysis of 389 Icelandic pedigrees with breast and prostate cancer

Breast cancer and prostate cancer are the most commonly occurring cancers in females and males, respectively. The objective of this project was to test the hypothesis that breast cancer in females and prostate cancer in males represent homologous cancers that may be controlled by one or more common unidentified genes that may explain some of the observed familial aggregation. We modeled the transmission of a breast-prostate cancer phenotype in 389 pedigrees ascertained through a breast cancer proband drawn from the Icelandic Cancer Registry. Assuming that age at diagnosis of this combined phenotype followed a logistic distribution, segregation analyses were performed to evaluate residual parental effects, a sibship covariate, and a dichotomous cohort effect. The most parsimonious model was a Mendelian codominant model, which could partly explain the familial aggregation of both cancers. Inheritance of a putative high-risk allele (A) predicted gender-specific mean ages of onset for females as 53.8 years, 59.7 years, and 65.6 years for the putative AA, AB, and BB genotypes, respectively. Similarly, the predicted means were 73.7 years, 75.6 years, and 78.3 years, respectively, among males. Under this codominant model, the lifetime risk of a woman being affected was 19% by age 80 years. This implies that when prostate cancer among male relatives of breast cancer probands (unselected for family history or early-onset disease) is considered a pleiotrophic effect of the same gene that increases the risk for breast cancer, women are predicted to have a less than 1 in 5 risk of developing breast cancer when they carry the putative high-risk allele. However, this is a higher risk than in the general Icelandic population. Our results suggest that BRCA2 mutations alone are inadequate to explain all of the excess clustering of prostate cancer cases in families of breast cancer probands, and that additional genes conferring excess risk to both breast and prostate cancer may exist in this population. (C) 2002 Wiley-Liss, Inc.