Rebound and disinvestment effects in refined oil consumption and supply resulting from an increase in energy efficiency in the Scottish commercial transport sector

被引:43
作者
Anson, Sam [2 ]
Turner, Karen [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Strathclyde, Dept Econ, Glasgow G4 0GE, Lanark, Scotland
[2] Scottish Govt, Transport Analyt Serv, Edinburgh EH6 6QQ, Midlothian, Scotland
基金
英国工程与自然科学研究理事会;
关键词
General equilibrium; Energy efficiency; Rebound effects; GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM-ANALYSIS; IMPACT; ENVIRONMENT; EMISSIONS; ECONOMY;
D O I
10.1016/j.enpol.2009.04.035
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
In this paper, we use an energy-economy-environment computable general equilibrium (CGE) model of the Scottish economy to examine the impacts of an exogenous increase in energy augmenting technological progress in the domestic commercial Transport sector on the supply and use of energy. We focus our analysis on Scottish refined oil, as the main type of energy input used in commercial transport activity. We find that a 5% increase in energy efficiency in the commercial Transport sector leads to rebound effects in the use of oil-based energy commodities in all time periods, in the target sector and at the economy-wide level. However, our results also suggest that such an efficiency improvement may cause a contraction in capacity in the Scottish refined oil supply sector. This 'disinvestment effect' acts as a constraint on the size of rebound effects. However, the magnitude of rebound effects and presence of the disinvestment effect in the simulations conducted here are sensitive to the specification of key elasticities of substitution in the nested production function for the target sector, particularly the substitutability of energy for non-energy intermediate inputs to production. (C) 2009 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:3608 / 3620
页数:13
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