Functional compatibility, Markov chains, and Gibbs sampling with improper posteriors

被引:38
作者
Hobert, JP [1 ]
Casella, G
机构
[1] Univ Florida, Dept Stat, Gainesville, FL 32611 USA
[2] Cornell Univ, Biometr Unit, Ithaca, NY 14853 USA
关键词
Bayesian hierarchical model; compatible conditional densities; improper prior; Markov transition function; Monte Carlo; null Markov chain;
D O I
10.2307/1390768
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
The members of a set of conditional probability density functions are called compatible if there exists a joint probability density function that generates them. We generalize this concept by calling the conditionals functionally compatible if there exists a nonnegative function that behaves Like a joint density as far as generating the conditionals according to the probability calculus, but whose integral over the whole space is not necessarily finite. A necessary and sufficient condition for functional compatibility is given that provides a method of calculating this function, if it exists. A Markov transition function is then constructed using a set of functionally compatible conditional densities and it is shown, using the compatibility results, that the associated Markov chain is positive recurrent if and only if the conditionals are compatible. A Gibbs Markov chain, constructed via "Gibbs conditionals" from a hierarchical model with an improper posterior, is a special case. Therefore, the results of this article can be used to evaluate the consequences of applying the Gibbs sampler when the posterior's impropriety is unknown to the user. Our results cannot, however, be used to detect improper posteriors. Monte Carlo approximations based on Gibbs chains are shown to have undesirable limiting behavior when the posterior is improper. The results are applied to a Bayesian hierarchical one-way random effects model with an improper posterior distribution. The model is simple, but also quite similar to some models with improper posteriors that have been used in conjunction with the Gibbs sampler in the literature.
引用
收藏
页码:42 / 60
页数:19
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