A drug misuser prevalence study in a rural English district

被引:13
作者
Brugha, RF
Swan, AV
Hayhurst, GK
Fallon, MP
机构
[1] Univ London London Sch Hyg & Trop Med, London WC1E 7HT, England
[2] PHLS, Publ Hlth Lab, Serv Stat Unit, London, England
[3] S Cheshire Hlth Author, Dept Publ Hlth, Chester, Cheshire, England
[4] Ctr Hlth, Winsford, England
关键词
drug misuse; capture-recapture; prevalence; general practice;
D O I
10.1093/eurpub/8.1.34
中图分类号
R1 [预防医学、卫生学];
学科分类号
1004 ; 120402 ;
摘要
A capture-recapture method was used to estimate the total prevalence of drug (opiates, amphetamines or cocaine) misusers in a rural English district. Unique identifying information on known misusers was obtained from four agencies, including general practitioners, in contact with them. Log-linear modelling produced a complex model, suggesting that the 518 known misusers represented 47% of the estimated true number, giving an estimated prevalence of 2.5 per 1,000 population (CL: 1.6-9.4). This method may not provide precise estimates of misuser population sizes and should be used in conjunction with other methods for estimating need.
引用
收藏
页码:34 / 36
页数:3
相关论文
共 18 条
[11]  
LARSON A, 1994, SOC SCI MED, V39, P821
[12]  
MCGOURTY H, 1994, DRUG MISUSE SERVICES
[13]   GOODNESS-OF-FIT BASED CONFIDENCE-INTERVALS FOR ESTIMATES OF THE SIZE OF A CLOSED POPULATION [J].
REGAL, RR ;
HOOK, EB .
STATISTICS IN MEDICINE, 1984, 3 (03) :287-291
[14]   THE EFFECTS OF MODEL SELECTION ON CONFIDENCE-INTERVALS FOR THE SIZE OF A CLOSED POPULATION [J].
REGAL, RR ;
HOOK, EB .
STATISTICS IN MEDICINE, 1991, 10 (05) :717-721
[15]  
*S E CHESH DHA, 1994, DRUGS MIS DAT TRENDS
[16]  
SQUIRES NF, 1995, J PUBLIC HEALTH MED, V17, P103
[17]   ARE DRUG POLICIES BASED ON FAKE STATISTICS [J].
SUTTON, M ;
MAYNARD, A .
ADDICTION, 1993, 88 (04) :455-458
[18]   USE OF PERSONAL MEDICAL RECORDS FOR RESEARCH PURPOSES [J].
WALD, N ;
LAW, M ;
MEADE, T ;
MILLER, G ;
ALBERMAN, E ;
DICKINSON, J .
BRITISH MEDICAL JOURNAL, 1994, 309 (6966) :1422-1424