Stratospheric controlled perturbation experiment: a small-scale experiment to improve understanding of the risks of solar geoengineering

被引:55
作者
Dykema, John A. [1 ]
Keith, David W. [1 ,3 ]
Anderson, James G. [1 ,2 ]
Weisenstein, Debra [1 ]
机构
[1] Harvard Univ, Sch Engn & Appl Sci, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA
[2] Harvard Univ, Dept Chem & Chem Biol, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA
[3] Harvard Univ, Kennedy Sch, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA
来源
PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY A-MATHEMATICAL PHYSICAL AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES | 2014年 / 372卷 / 2031期
基金
美国国家航空航天局;
关键词
geoengineering; solar radiation management; stratosphere; balloon; ozone depletion; FREE-RADICAL KINETICS; IN-SITU OBSERVATIONS; WATER-VAPOR; ANTARCTIC VORTEX; OZONE DEPLETION; SULFURIC-ACID; HIGH-PRESSURE; CLO; SENSITIVITY; TROPOSPHERE;
D O I
10.1098/rsta.2014.0059
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
Although solar radiation management (SRM) through stratospheric aerosol methods has the potential to mitigate impacts of climate change, our current knowledge of stratospheric processes suggests that these methods may entail significant risks. In addition to the risks associated with current knowledge, the possibility of 'unknown unknowns' exists that could significantly alter the risk assessment relative to our current understanding. While laboratory experimentation can improve the current state of knowledge and atmospheric models can assess large-scale climate response, they cannot capture possible unknown chemistry or represent the full range of interactive atmospheric chemical physics. Small-scale, in situ experimentation under well-regulated circumstances can begin to remove some of these uncertainties. This experiment-provisionally titled the stratospheric controlled perturbation experiment-is under development and will only proceed with transparent and predominantly governmental funding and independent risk assessment. We describe the scientific and technical foundation for performing, under external oversight, small-scale experiments to quantify the risks posed by SRM to activation of halogen species and subsequent erosion of stratospheric ozone. The paper's scope includes selection of the measurement platform, relevant aspects of stratosphericmeteorology, operational considerations and instrument design and engineering.
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页数:21
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