Sensitivity analysis, calibration and validation of EPIC for modelling soil phosphorus dynamics in Swiss agro-ecosystems

被引：23

作者：

Della Peruta, Raniero ^{[1
]}

Keller, Armin ^{[1
]}

Schulin, Rainer ^{[2
]}

机构：

[1] Swiss Soil Monitoring Network NABO Agroscope, CH-8046 Zurich, Switzerland

[2] ETH, ITES, CH-8092 Zurich, Switzerland

来源：

ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING & SOFTWARE | 2014年 / 62卷

关键词：

EPIC model; Soil phosphorus; Model calibration; Sensitivity analysis; Uncertainty; Soil monitoring; Bioturbation; GLOBAL SENSITIVITY; UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS; NUTRIENT MANAGEMENT; BALANCES; WATERSHEDS; FERTILIZER; FRAMEWORK; LOSSES; RUNOFF; LITTER;

D O I：

10.1016/j.envsoft.2014.08.018

中图分类号：

TP39 [计算机的应用];

学科分类号：

081203 ; 0835 ;

摘要：

Proper management of soil phosphorus (P) is essential to ensure sustainability in agriculture. To avoid excessive P accumulation in soil, a methodology for predicting long-term variations in soil P content is required. Using the Swiss Soil Monitoring Network (NABO) database, we tested the efficiency of the model EPIC to predict soil P temporal changes for typical Swiss arable and grassland sites. After performing a sensitivity analysis to identify the most influential model parameters for which calibration was needed, we calibrated the influential parameters on the available topsoil P data of 4 selected NABO sites and then we tested the calibrated model by comparison of predictions with data from a second set of 14 sites. We found that the model performance for grassland sites improved significantly when site-specific estimates of bioturbation depth were used. These site-specific estimates showed a close relationship to independently assessed subsoil hydromorphy. (C) 2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

引用

页码：97 / 111

页数：15

共 77 条

[41] Bayesian calibration of computer models [J].

Kennedy, MC ;

O'Hagan, A .

JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL STATISTICAL SOCIETY SERIES B-STATISTICAL METHODOLOGY, 2001, 63 :425-450

[42]

Kessler J., 1998, Agrarforschung, V5, P117

[43] Interlaboratory comparison of soil phosphorus extracted by various soil test methods [J].

Kleinman, PJA ;

Sharpley, AN ;

Gartley, K ;

Jarrell, WM ;

Kuo, S ;

Menon, RG ;

Myers, R ;

Reddy, KR ;

Skogley, EO .

COMMUNICATIONS IN SOIL SCIENCE AND PLANT ANALYSIS, 2001, 32 (15-16) :2325-2345

[44]

Lee K. E., 1985, Earthworms: their ecology and relationships with soils and land use.

[45] A review of field scale phosphorus dynamics models [J].

Lewis, DR ;

McGechan, MB .

BIOSYSTEMS ENGINEERING, 2002, 82 (04) :359-380

[46] Nonpoint source pollution [J].

Lin, Lu ;

Deng, Zhi-Qiang ;

Gang, Daniel Dianchen .

Water Environment Research, 2009, 81 (10) :1996-2018

[47] Soil monitoring in Europe: A review of existing systems and requirements for harmonisation [J].

Morvan, X. ;

Saby, N. P. A. ;

Arrouays, D. ;

Le Bas, C. ;

Jones, R. J. A. ;

Verheijen, F. G. A. ;

Bellamy, P. H. ;

Stephens, M. ;

Kibblewhite, M. G. .

SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT, 2008, 391 (01) :1-12

[48]

Nash J. E., 1970, Journal of Hydrology, V10, P282, DOI DOI 10.1016/0022-1694(70)90255-6

[49] Element balances as a tool for sustainable nutrient management:: a critical appraisal of their merits and limitations within an agronomic and environmental context [J].

Öborn, I ;

Edwards, AC ;

Witter, E ;

Oenema, O ;

Ivarsson, K ;

Withers, PJA ;

Nilsson, SI ;

Stinzing, AR .

EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF AGRONOMY, 2003, 20 (1-2) :211-225

[50] Approaches and uncertainties in nutrient budgets: implications for nutrient management and environmental policies [J].

Oenema, O ;

Kros, H ;

de Vries, W .

EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF AGRONOMY, 2003, 20 (1-2) :3-16

← 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 →