Forecasting the SST space-time variability of the Alboran Sea with genetic algorithms

被引:61
作者
Alvarez, A [1 ]
López, C
Riera, M
Hernández-García, E
Tintoré, J
机构
[1] SACLANT Undersea Res Ctr, La Spezia, Italy
[2] Univ Illes Balears, CSIC, Inst Mediterraneo Estudios Avanzados, E-07071 Palma de Mallorca, Spain
关键词
D O I
10.1029/1999GL011226
中图分类号
P [天文学、地球科学];
学科分类号
07 ;
摘要
We propose a nonlinear ocean forecasting technique based on a combination of genetic algorithms and empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis. The method is used to forecast the space-time variability of the sea surface temperature (SST) in the Alboran Sea. The genetic algorithm finds the equations that best describe the behaviour of the different temporal amplitude functions in the EOF decomposition and, therefore, enables global forecasting of the future time-variability.
引用
收藏
页码:2709 / 2712
页数:4
相关论文
共 17 条
[1]   THE ANALYSIS OF OBSERVED CHAOTIC DATA IN PHYSICAL SYSTEMS [J].
ABARBANEL, HDI ;
BROWN, R ;
SIDOROWICH, JJ ;
TSIMRING, LS .
REVIEWS OF MODERN PHYSICS, 1993, 65 (04) :1331-1392
[2]  
ALVAREZ A, 2000, UNPUB COMP PHYS COMM
[3]  
BARNSTON AG, 1992, J CLIMATE, V5, P1316, DOI 10.1175/1520-0442(1992)005<1316:POEEUC>2.0.CO
[4]  
2
[5]   NONLINEAR PREDICTION OF CHAOTIC TIME-SERIES [J].
CASDAGLI, M .
PHYSICA D, 1989, 35 (03) :335-356
[6]  
HOLLAND JH, 1992, ADAPTATION NATURAL A
[7]  
Holmes P., 1996, Turbulence, coherent structures, dynamical systems, and symmetry
[8]   ADAPTIVE FILTERING AND MAXIMUM-ENTROPY SPECTRA WITH APPLICATION TO CHANGES IN ATMOSPHERIC ANGULAR-MOMENTUM [J].
PENLAND, C ;
GHIL, M ;
WEICKMANN, KM .
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 1991, 96 (D12) :22659-22671
[9]  
Preisendorfer R. W., 1988, PRINCIPAL COMPONENT
[10]   Forecasting chaotic time series with genetic algorithms [J].
Szpiro, GG .
PHYSICAL REVIEW E, 1997, 55 (03) :2557-2568