Association of influenza epidemics with global climate variability

被引：78

作者：

Viboud, C

Pakdaman, K

Böelle, PY

Wilson, ML

Myers, MF

Valleron, AJ

Pakdaman, K

机构：

[1] Univ St Antoine, Inst Natl Sante & Rech Med, Unit 444, Ctr Hosp, F-75571 Paris 12, France

[2] WHO Collaborating Ctr Elect Dis Surveillance, F-75571 Paris 12, France

[3] Univ Michigan, Dept Epidemiol, Ann Arbor, MI 48109 USA

[4] NASA, Goddard Space Flight Ctr, Human Hlth Initiat, Greenbelt, MD 20770 USA

来源：

EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF EPIDEMIOLOGY | 2004年 / 19卷 / 11期

关键词：

climate; disease outbreaks/statistics & numerical data; ecology; environment; influenza/epidemiology; influenza/morbidity; influenza/mortality;

D O I：

10.1007/s10654-004-2450-9

中图分类号：

R1 [预防医学、卫生学];

学科分类号：

1004 ; 120402 ;

摘要：

The reasons for the seasonality and annual changes in the impact of influenza epidemics remain poorly understood. We investigated the covariations between a major component of climate, namely the El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO), and indicators of the impact of influenza, as measured by morbidity, excess mortality and viral subtypes collected in France during the period 1971-2002. We show that both the circulating subtype and the magnitude of ENSO are associated with the impact of influenza epidemics. Recognition of this association could lead to better understanding of the mechanisms of emergence of influenza epidemics.

引用

页码：1055 / 1059

页数：5

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