Potential predictability of the Madden-Julian oscillation

被引：259

作者：

Waliser, DE

Lau, KM

Stern, W

Jones, C

机构：

[1] SUNY Stony Brook, Inst Terr & Planetary Atmospheres, Stony Brook, NY 11794 USA

[2] NASA, Goddard Space Flight Ctr, Climate & Radiat Branch, Greenbelt, MD 20771 USA

[3] Princeton Univ, Geophys Fluid Dynam Lab, Princeton, NJ USA

[4] Univ Calif Santa Barbara, Inst Computat Earth Syst Sci, Santa Barbara, CA USA

来源：

BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY | 2003年 / 84卷 / 01期

关键词：

D O I：

10.1175/BAMS-84-1-33

中图分类号：

P4 [大气科学（气象学）];

学科分类号：

0706 ; 070601 ;

摘要：

A study was performed to provide an initial estimate of the dynamic predictability of the Madden-Julian oscillation (MJO). The NASA GLA general circulation model was chosen for this study. A 10-yr control simulation using specified annual cycle SSTs was performed in order to provide initial conditions from which to perform an ensemble of twin predictability experiments. Simulations were performed for 90 days from each of the 150 perturbed initial conditions. The resultant data were analyzed in detail.

引用

页码：33 / 50

页数：18

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