The Development of a Simulation Model of the Treatment of Coronary Heart Disease

被引：38

作者：

Keith Cooper

Ruth Davies

Paul Roderick

Debbie Chase

James Raftery

机构：

[1] University of Southampton,School of Management

[2] University of Southampton,Health Care Research Unit

[3] University of Birmingham,Health Services Management Centre

来源：

Health Care Management Science | 2002年 / 5卷 / 4期

关键词：

simulation; coronary artery disease; treatment modelling;

D O I：

10.1023/A:1020378022303

中图分类号：

学科分类号：

摘要：

A discrete event simulation models the progress of patients who have had a coronary event, through their treatment pathways and subsequent coronary events. The main risk factors in the model are age, sex, history of previous events and the extent of the coronary vessel disease. The model parameters are based on data collected from epidemiological studies of incidence and prognosis, efficacy studies, national surveys and treatment audits. The simulation results were validated against different sources of data. The initial results show that increasing revascularisation has considerable implications for resource use but has little impact on patient mortality.

引用

页码：259 / 267

页数：8