CAN SPECULATIVE TRADING EXPLAIN THE VOLUME-VOLATILITY RELATION

被引:40
作者
FOSTER, FD [1 ]
VISWANATHAN, S [1 ]
机构
[1] DUKE UNIV,FUQUA SCH BUSINESS,DURHAM,NC 27708
关键词
MARKET MICROSTRUCTURE; SIMULATED METHOD OF MOMENTS ESTIMATION; VOLUME AND VOLATILITY;
D O I
10.2307/1392384
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
We derive a speculative trading model with endogenous informed trading that yields a conditionally heteroscedastic time series for trading volume and the squared price changes. We use half-hourly price-change and volume data for IBM during 1988 to test the model and estimate the structural parameters using the simulated method-of-moments estimation procedure. Although the model seems to do a reasonable job fitting the unconditional moments of the volume and the squared price change processes, it fares less well in fitting the relation between current trading volume and lags of trading volume and squared volume's (and its lag's) relation to squared price changes.
引用
收藏
页码:379 / 396
页数:18
相关论文
共 51 条
  • [1] A Theory of Intraday Patterns: Volume and Price Variability
    Admati, Anat R.
    Pfleiderer, Paul
    [J]. REVIEW OF FINANCIAL STUDIES, 1988, 1 (01) : 3 - 40
  • [2] Divide and Conquer: A Theory of Intraday and Day-of-the-Week Mean Effects
    Admati, Anat R.
    Pfleiderer, Paul
    [J]. REVIEW OF FINANCIAL STUDIES, 1989, 2 (02) : 189 - 223
  • [3] Andersen T. G., 1994, MATH FIN, V42, P75
  • [4] ANDERSON T, 1995, RETURN VOLATILITY TR
  • [5] ANDERSON T, 1994, INTRADAY SEASONALITY
  • [6] [Anonymous], 1989, BAYESIAN FORECASTING
  • [7] [Anonymous], 1988, NUMERICAL RECIPES AR
  • [8] NONPARAMETRIC-ESTIMATION OF STRUCTURAL MODELS FOR HIGH-FREQUENCY CURRENCY MARKET DATA
    BANSAL, R
    GALLANT, AR
    HUSSEY, R
    TAUCHEN, G
    [J]. JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS, 1995, 66 (1-2) : 251 - 287
  • [9] BILLINGSLEY P, 1986, PROBABILITY MEASURE
  • [10] MARKET STATISTICS AND TECHNICAL ANALYSIS - THE ROLE OF VOLUME
    BLUME, L
    EASLEY, D
    OHARA, M
    [J]. JOURNAL OF FINANCE, 1994, 49 (01) : 153 - 181