EXTENSIONAL VERSUS INTUITIVE REASONING - THE CONJUNCTION FALLACY IN PROBABILITY JUDGMENT

被引：1950

作者：

TVERSKY, A ^{[1
]}

KAHNEMAN, D ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] UNIV BRITISH COLUMBIA,VANCOUVER V6T 1W5,BC,CANADA

来源：

关键词：

D O I：

10.1037/0033-295X.90.4.293

中图分类号：

B84 [心理学];

学科分类号：

04 ; 0402 ;

摘要：

引用

页码：293 / 315

页数：23

共 52 条

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[2]

[Anonymous], 1982, JUDGMENT UNCERTAINTY

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[4]

BEYTHMAROM R, 1981, 8112 DEC RES REP

[5]

Bruner JS., 1966, STUDIES COGNITIVE GR

[6] GENESIS OF POPULAR BUT ERRONEOUS PSYCHO-DIAGNOSTIC OBSERVATIONS [J].

CHAPMAN, LJ ;

CHAPMAN, JP .

[7]

Cohen, 1977, PROBABLE PROVABLE

[8]

Cohen J., 1957, ACTA PSYCHOL, V13, P357

[9]

Dawes R.M., 1982, JUDGEMENT UNCERTAINT, P391

[10] UPPER AND LOWER PROBABILITIES INDUCED BY A MULTIVALUED MAPPING [J].

DEMPSTER, AP .

ANNALS OF MATHEMATICAL STATISTICS, 1967, 38 (02) :325-&