EXTENSIONAL VERSUS INTUITIVE REASONING - THE CONJUNCTION FALLACY IN PROBABILITY JUDGMENT

被引：1950

作者：

TVERSKY, A ^{[1
]}

KAHNEMAN, D ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] UNIV BRITISH COLUMBIA,VANCOUVER V6T 1W5,BC,CANADA

来源：

关键词：

D O I：

10.1037/0033-295X.90.4.293

中图分类号：

B84 [心理学];

学科分类号：

04 ; 0402 ;

摘要：

引用

页码：293 / 315

页数：23

共 52 条

[11]

EDWARDS W, 1975, J AM STAT ASSOC, V70, P291, DOI 10.2307/2285810

[12] BEHAVIORAL DECISION-THEORY - PROCESSES OF JUDGMENT AND CHOICE [J].

EINHORN, HJ ;

HOGARTH, RM .

[13] REPRESENTATIONS OF QUALITATIVE AND QUANTITATIVE DIMENSIONS [J].

GATI, I ;

TVERSKY, A .

[14] ASSESSING PROBABILITIES OF COMPOUND EVENTS IN A JUDICIAL CONTEXT [J].

GOLDSMITH, RW .

[15]

GOOD IJ, 1971, F STATISTICAL INFERE

[16]

GRICE HP, 1975, LOGIC GRAMMAR

[17]

Hammond KR, 1973, HUMAN JUDGMENT SOCIA

[18]

Jennings D, 1982, JUDGMENT UNCERTAINTY

[19]

JOHNSONLAIRD PN, 1977, THINKING

JONES, GV .