An SIS epidemic model with variable population size and a delay

被引:142
作者
Hethcote, HW [1 ]
vandenDriessche, P [1 ]
机构
[1] UNIV VICTORIA, DEPT MATH & STAT, VICTORIA, BC V8W 3P4, CANADA
关键词
epidemiological modeling; SIS model; delay; threshold; Hopf bifurcation;
D O I
10.1007/BF00178772
中图分类号
Q [生物科学];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
The SIS epidemiological model has births, natural deaths, disease-related deaths and a delay corresponding to the infectious period. The thresholds for persistence, equilibria and stability are determined. The persistence of the disease combined with the disease-related deaths can cause the population size to decrease to zero, to remain finite, or to grow exponentially with a smaller growth rate constant. For some parameter values, the endemic infective-fraction equilibrium is asymptotically stable, but for other parameter values, it is unstable and a surrounding periodic solution appears by Hopf bifurcation.
引用
收藏
页码:177 / 194
页数:18
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