EMPIRICAL TESTING OF REAL OPTION-PRICING MODELS

被引:200
作者
QUIGG, L
机构
关键词
D O I
10.2307/2328915
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
This research is the first to examine the empirical predictions of a real option-pricing model using a large sample of market prices. We find empirical support for a model that incorporates the option to wait to develop land. The option model has explanatory power for predicting transactions prices over and above the intrinsic value. Market prices reflect a premium for the option to wait to invest that has a mean value of 6% in our sample. We also estimate implied standard deviations for individual commercial property prices ranging from 18 to 28% per year.
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页码:621 / 640
页数:20
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