FORMALIZING THE CONSISTENCY OF EXPERTS' JUDGMENTS IN THE DELPHI METHOD

被引：9

作者：

Pankratova, N. D. ^{[1
,2
]}

Malafeeva, L. Y. ^{[1
,2
]}

机构：

[1] Natl Tech Univ, Kyiv Polytech Inst, Inst Appl Syst Anal, Minist Educ & Sci Youth & Sport Ukraine, Kiev, Ukraine

[2] Natl Acad Sci Ukraine, Kiev, Ukraine

来源：

CYBERNETICS AND SYSTEMS ANALYSIS | 2012年 / 48卷 / 05期

关键词：

Delphi method; experts' judgment; importance degree indicator; consensus analysis;

D O I：

10.1007/s10559-012-9451-6

中图分类号：

TP3 [计算技术、计算机技术];

学科分类号：

0812 ;

摘要：

The consistency analysis of experts' judgments in terms of fuzzy interval estimates and interval metric, which underlies the Delphi method, is formalized. This method is implemented using techniques of artificial intelligence and automated tools that allow on-line expert's judgment.

引用

页码：711 / 721

页数：11

共 9 条

[1]

Foresight Methodologies, 2003, TRAIN MOD 2 UNIDO CE, P100

[2]

Kolmogorov A.N., 1976, ELEMENTY TEORII FUNK

[3]

MILLER GA, 1956, PSYCHOL REV, V63, P81, DOI 10.1037/0033-295X.101.2.343

[4]

Pankratova N. D., 2002, SYST DOSLIDZH INFORM, P26

[5]

Panteleev A.V., 2005, OPTIMIZATION METHODS

[6]

Yu L., 2009, NAUK VISTI NTUU KPI, P61

[7] An information platform for scenario analysis in technology foresight problems [J].

M. Z. Zgurovskii ;

N. D. Pankratova .

Cybernetics and Systems Analysis, 2003, 39 (4) :564-575

[8]

Zgurovskii M. Z., 2005, TECHNOLOGICAL FORESI

[9]

Zgurovskii M. Z., 2011, PANKRATOVA SYSTEMS A

← 1 →