A STATISTICAL-MODEL FOR DERIVING PROBABILITY-DISTRIBUTIONS OF CONTAMINATION FOR ACCIDENTAL RELEASES

被引：3

作者：

APSIMON, HM ^{[1
]}

DAVISON, AC ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] UNIV TEXAS,CTR STAT SCI,AUSTIN,TX 78712

来源：

ATMOSPHERIC ENVIRONMENT | 1986年 / 20卷 / 06期

关键词：

DIFFUSION - METEOROLOGY - PROBABILITY - RADIOACTIVE MATERIALS - Accidents - STATISTICAL METHODS;

D O I：

10.1016/0004-6981(86)90160-5

中图分类号：

X [环境科学、安全科学];

学科分类号：

08 ; 0830 ;

摘要：

Results generated from a detailed long-range transport model, MESOS, simulating dispersal of a large number of hypothetical releases of radionuclides in a variety of meteorological situations over Western Europe, have been used to derive a simpler statistical model, MESOSTAT. The model is embodied in a series of equations involving parameters which are determined from such factors as distance between source and receptor, nuclide decay and deposition characteristics, release duration, and geostrophic windrose at the source. Suitable geostrophic windrose data have been derived for source locations covering Western Europe. Special attention has been paid to the relatively improbable extreme values of contamination at the top end of the distribution.

引用

页码：1249 / 1259

页数：11

共 19 条

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