MICROSIMULATION - A SURVEY OF PRINCIPLES, DEVELOPMENTS AND APPLICATIONS

被引:42
作者
MERZ, J
机构
[1] Department of Economics, Johann Wolfgang Goethe-Universität, W-6000 Frankfurt am Main
关键词
MICROSIMULATION; MICROANALYSIS; FORECASTING MICRODATA; POLICY ANALYSIS;
D O I
10.1016/0169-2070(91)90035-T
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
This paper surveys microsimulation as an instrument to analyze and forecast the individual impacts of economic and social policies. The basic principles of microsimulation, which is a tool for practical policy advising as well as for research and teaching, are pointed out and the static and dynamic (cross-section and longitudinal) approaches are compared to one another. Present and past developments of microsimulation models - with emphasis on the static version - and their areas of application are reviewed, focusing on the us and Europe as leaders in this field. The requirement profile and components of a static microsimulation model are discussed. To illustrate the mechanisms involved in a microsimulation model, the paper concludes with a concrete example: the Static Sfb 3 Microsimulation Model based on a relational database system. © 1991.
引用
收藏
页码:77 / 104
页数:28
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