PERIODIC VARIATION IN THE GEOMAGNETIC-ACTIVITY - A STUDY BASED ON THE AP INDEX

The monthly and daily samples of the Ap geomagnetic index for 51 years, 1932-1982, were investigated by means of the power spectrum technique, In general, the results confirm previous findings about possible periodicities in the geomagnetic activity. However, in our opinion the following aspects are either new or they are being interpreted somewhat differently than other authors have done. The period around 4 years in the monthly Ap power spectrum is associated to the double peak structure observed in the geomagnetic activity variation [Gonzalez et al., 1990]. Several of the peaks shown by the daily Ap spectrum are interpreted as harmonics of the 6-month period and other peaks as caused by the solar rotation periodicity, in such a way that the two series of Fourier sequences are consider to be juxtaposed. A strong solar cycle modulation is observed in these series, particularly iii that related to the solar rotation period, which almost disappears for the solar maximum phase. The study of the seasonal variation was complemented by a superposed epoch analysis. The profiles resulting from this analysis seem to show a multiple origin of the 6-month periodicity, so that it does not seem realistic to search for a unique cause for this well-known seasonal variation. This conclusion is also supported by the histograms of the occurrence of storms above a given intensity level, taken over short duration intervals (i.e., 8 days). According to these histograms, for large data samples the dates with largest number of storms are spread out around those predicted by the different theoretical models, while for short intervals the semiannual periodicity may sometimes not even be present. Therefore these known mechanisms would combine to give a resulting modulation of the geomagnetic response to the randomly generated source of storms. It was also found that an additional seasonal peak seems to exist in July, with an amplitude comparable to those of the equinoctial peaks, for the range of the most intense storms (Ap greater-than-or-equal-to 150 nT). A weak periodicity around 158 days, well correlated to that of about 155 days observed in the solar activity, has also been detected for some years during solar cycle 21.