HINDSIGHT BIAS AND STRATEGIC CHOICE - SOME PROBLEMS IN LEARNING FROM EXPERIENCE

被引:16
作者
BUKSZAR, E [1 ]
CONNOLLY, T [1 ]
机构
[1] UNIV ARIZONA,DECIS BEHAV RES LAB,TUCSON,AZ 85721
关键词
D O I
10.2307/256462
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
引用
收藏
页码:628 / 641
页数:14
相关论文
共 22 条
[1]   HOW TO SELECT A BUSINESS STRATEGY [J].
AAKER, DA .
CALIFORNIA MANAGEMENT REVIEW, 1984, 26 (03) :167-175
[2]  
Allison G., 1971, ESSENCE DECISION EXP
[3]   HINDSIGHT BIAS AMONG PHYSICIANS WEIGHING THE LIKELIHOOD OF DIAGNOSES [J].
ARKES, HR ;
SAVILLE, PD ;
WORTMANN, RL ;
HARKNESS, AR .
JOURNAL OF APPLIED PSYCHOLOGY, 1981, 66 (02) :252-254
[4]  
DETMER DE, 1978, J MED EDUC, V53, P682
[5]  
FINNEY M, 1986, THINKING ORG, P317
[6]   HINDSIGHT NOT EQUAL TO FORESIGHT - EFFECT OF OUTCOME KNOWLEDGE ON JUDGMENT UNDER UNCERTAINTY [J].
FISCHHOFF, B .
JOURNAL OF EXPERIMENTAL PSYCHOLOGY-HUMAN PERCEPTION AND PERFORMANCE, 1975, 1 (03) :288-299
[7]   I KNEW IT WOULD HAPPEN - REMEMBERED PROBABILITIES OF ONCE-FUTURE THINGS [J].
FISCHHOFF, B ;
BEYTH, R .
ORGANIZATIONAL BEHAVIOR AND HUMAN PERFORMANCE, 1975, 13 (01) :1-16
[8]  
Fischhoff B., 1982, JUDGMENT UNCERTAINTY
[9]   I KNEW IT ALL ALONG: OR, DID I? [J].
HASHER, L ;
ATTIG, MS ;
ALBA, JW .
JOURNAL OF VERBAL LEARNING AND VERBAL BEHAVIOR, 1981, 20 (01) :86-96
[10]  
Lehmann EL, 1998, NONPARAMETRICS STATI, P79