Estimating Time Preferences from Convex Budgets

被引:323
作者
Andreoni, James [1 ]
Sprenger, Charles [2 ]
机构
[1] Univ Calif San Diego, Dept Econ, La Jolla, CA 92093 USA
[2] Stanford Univ, Dept Econ, Stanford, CA 94305 USA
基金
美国国家科学基金会;
关键词
INDIVIDUAL DISCOUNT RATES; RISK-AVERSION; CERTAINTY; UTILITY; CONSUMPTION; BEHAVIOR; UNCERTAINTY; IMMEDIACY; CHOICE; DELAY;
D O I
10.1257/aer.102.7.3333
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
Experimentally elicited discount rates ore frequently higher than what seems reasonable for economic decision-making. Such high rates are often attributed to present-biased discounting. A well-known bias of standard measurements is the assumption of linear consumption utility Attempting to correct this bias using measures of risk aversion to identify concavity, researchers find reasonable discounting but at the cost of exceptionally high utility function curvature. We present a new methodology for identifying time preferences, both discounting and curvature, from simple allocation decisions. We find reasonable levels of both discounting and curvature and, surprisingly, dynamically consistent time preferences.
引用
收藏
页码:3333 / 3356
页数:24
相关论文
共 49 条
[2]  
Anderhub V., 2001, German Economic Review, V2, P239, DOI [DOI 10.1111/1468-0475.00036, 10.1111/1468-0475.00036]
[3]   Eliciting risk and time preferences [J].
Andersen, Steffen ;
Harrison, Glenn W. ;
Lau, Morten I. ;
Rutstrom, E. Elisabet .
ECONOMETRICA, 2008, 76 (03) :583-618
[4]   Risk Preferences Are Not Time Preferences [J].
Andreoni, James ;
Sprenger, Charles .
AMERICAN ECONOMIC REVIEW, 2012, 102 (07) :3357-3376
[5]  
[Anonymous], 2001, Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data
[6]   Tying Odysseus to the mast: Evidence from a commitment savings product in the Philippines [J].
Ashraf, Nava ;
Karlan, Dean ;
Yin, Wesley .
QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS, 2006, 121 (02) :635-672
[7]   Present-bias, quasi-hyperbolic discounting, and fixed costs [J].
Benhabib, Jess ;
Bisin, Alberto ;
Schotter, Andrew .
GAMES AND ECONOMIC BEHAVIOR, 2010, 69 (02) :205-223
[8]   Cognitive skills affect economic preferences, strategic behavior, and job attachment [J].
Burks, Stephen V. ;
Carpenter, Jeffrey P. ;
Goette, Lorenz ;
Rustichini, Aldo .
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2009, 106 (19) :7745-7750
[9]   Wealth accumulation over the life cycle and precautionary savings [J].
Cagetti, M .
JOURNAL OF BUSINESS & ECONOMIC STATISTICS, 2003, 21 (03) :339-353
[10]   Individual laboratory-measured discount rates predict field behavior [J].
Chabris, Christopher F. ;
Laibson, David ;
Morris, Carrie L. ;
Schuldt, Jonathon P. ;
Taubinsky, Dmitry .
JOURNAL OF RISK AND UNCERTAINTY, 2008, 37 (2-3) :237-269