Economic considerations for social distancing and behavioral based policies during an epidemic

被引:113
作者
Fenichel, Eli P. [1 ]
机构
[1] Yale Univ, Sch Forestry & Environm Studies, New Haven, CT 06511 USA
基金
美国国家卫生研究院;
关键词
Public health; Infectious disease; Dynamic optimization; SIR model; Adaptive behavior; INFECTIOUS-DISEASES; PANDEMIC INFLUENZA; IMPACT; TRANSMISSION; MODELS; UK;
D O I
10.1016/j.jhealeco.2013.01.002
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
Public policies intended to induce behavioral change, specifically incentives to reduce interpersonal contacts or to "social distance," increasingly play a prominent role in public disease response strategies as governments plan for and respond to major epidemics. I compare social distancing incentives and outcomes under decentralized, full control social planner, and constrained social planner, without health class specific control, decision making scenarios. Constrained social planner decision making, based on non-health class specific controls, can in some instances make society worse off than decentralized decision making (i.e. no intervention). The oft neglected behavior of recovered and immune individuals is important for welfare and health outcomes. (C) 2013 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:440 / 451
页数:12
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