Zika virus transmission in Angola and the potential for further spread to other African settings

被引：17

作者：

Kraemer, Moritz U. G. ^{[1
,2
,3
]}

Brady, Oliver J. ^{[4
]}

Watts, Alexander ^{[5
]}

German, Matthew ^{[5
]}

Hay, Simon I. ^{[6
,7
]}

Khan, Kamran ^{[5
,8
]}

Bogoch, Isaac I. ^{[8
,9
,10
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Oxford, Dept Zool, Oxford, England

[2] Harvard Med Sch, Boston, MA USA

[3] Boston Childrens Hosp Informat Program, Boston, MA USA

[4] Univ London, London Sch Hyg & Trop Med, Ctr Math Modeling Infect Dis, London, England

[5] St Michaels Hosp, Li Ka Shing Knowledge Inst, Toronto, ON, Canada

[6] Univ Washington, Inst Hlth Metr & Evaluat, Seattle, WA 98195 USA

[7] Li Ka Shing Ctr Hlth Informat & Discovery, Big Data Inst, Oxford, England

[8] Univ Toronto, Div Infect Dis, Dept Med, Toronto, ON, Canada

[9] Univ Hlth Network, Div Gen Internal Med, Toronto, ON, Canada

[10] Univ Hlth Network, Div Infect Dis, Toronto, ON, Canada

来源：

TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY OF TROPICAL MEDICINE AND HYGIENE | 2017年 / 111卷 / 11期

基金：

英国惠康基金; 美国国家卫生研究院; 加拿大健康研究院; 比尔及梅琳达.盖茨基金会;

关键词：

Aedes; Africa; Air travel; Angola; Globalization; Mosquito; ZIKV;

D O I：

10.1093/trstmh/try001

中图分类号：

R1 [预防医学、卫生学];

学科分类号：

1004 ; 120402 ;

摘要：

Background: Cases of Zika virus were recently detected in Luanda, Angola, a major travel hub in Africa. The risk of Zika virus transmission throughout the continent from Angola is evaluated. Methods: Travel volumes were assessed using monthly passenger-level flight data from Luanda to all locations throughout Africa. Travel data was superimposed onto seasonal environmental suitability maps that predict the potential for subsequent Zika virus transmission. Results and Conclusions: Windhoek, Maputo, Durban and Kinshasa have the greatest potential for Zika virus introduction and transmission during the southern hemisphere summer months, and Nairobi during the northern hemisphere summer months.

引用

页码：527 / 529

页数：3

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