Testing for linear Granger causality from natural/anthropogenic forcings to global temperature anomalies

被引：37

作者：

Attanasio, Alessandro ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Aquila, Dept Pure & Appl Math, I-67010 Laquila, Italy

来源：

THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY | 2012年 / 110卷 / 1-2期

关键词：

OF-SAMPLE TESTS; COINTEGRATION; CLIMATE; INVESTIGATE; INFERENCE; DIOXIDE; MODELS;

D O I：

10.1007/s00704-012-0634-x

中图分类号：

P4 [大气科学（气象学）];

学科分类号：

0706 ; 070601 ;

摘要：

In this paper, we analyze the Granger causality from natural or anthropogenic forcings to global temperature anomalies. The lag-augmented Wald test is performed, and its robustness is also evaluated considering bootstrap method. The results show there is no-evidence of Granger causality from natural forcings to global temperature. On the contrary, a detectable Granger causality is found from anthropogenic forcings to global temperature confirming that greenhouse gases have an important role on recent global warming.

引用

页码：281 / 289

页数：9

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