Mass public decisions to go to war: A cognitive-interactionist framework

被引:196
作者
Herrmann, RK [1 ]
Tetlock, PE
Visser, PS
机构
[1] Ohio State Univ, Columbus, OH 43210 USA
[2] Princeton Univ, Woodrow Wilson Sch Publ & Int Affairs, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA
关键词
D O I
10.2307/2585574
中图分类号
D0 [政治学、政治理论];
学科分类号
0302 ; 030201 ;
摘要
How do Americans decide whether their country should use military force abroad? We argue they combine dispositional preferences and ideas about the geopolitical situation. This article reports the results of a representative national survey that incorporated Jive experiments. Findings include the following: (I) Respondent dispositions, especially isolationism versus internationalism and assertiveness versus accommodativeness, consistently constrained policy preferences, whereas liberalism-conservatism did net; (2) features of the geopolitical context-the presence of U.S. interests, relative power the images of the adversary's motivations and judgments about cultural status-also influenced support for military intervention; and (3) systematic interactions emerged between dispositions and geopolitical context that shed light on when and why ideological disagreements about the use of force are likely to be amplified and attenuated by situational factors. Our results are consistent with a cognitive-interactionist perspective, in which people adapt broad predispositions in relatively thoughtful ways to specific foreign policy problems.
引用
收藏
页码:553 / 573
页数:21
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