One hundred years of the design of experiments on and off the pages of Biometrika

被引:42
作者
Atkinson, AC
Bailey, RA
机构
[1] Univ London London Sch Econ & Polit Sci, Dept Stat, London WC2A 2AE, England
[2] Queen Mary Univ London, Sch Math Sci, London E1 4NS, England
关键词
clinical trial; factorial experiment; incomplete block design; neighbours; optimum design; randomisation; response surface methods;
D O I
10.1093/biomet/88.1.53
中图分类号
Q [生物科学];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
The earliest important papers on planned experiments in Biometrika appeared within a year of each other in 1917 and 1918. Roughly speaking, one was concerned with design optimality and industrial experiments, the other with agricultural trials and blocking. We find this approximate division of the subject into two parts helpful in describing its development and growth. As a result of the hostility between Fisher and Karl Pearson, much of the development of designs for agriculture in the 1920s and 1930s occurred off the pages of Biometrika. Despite this, we are able to trace a coherent history of the development of the subject from field trials and response surface methods to clinical trials and Bayesian versions of design optimality.
引用
收藏
页码:53 / 97
页数:45
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