ON THE CYCLICALITY OF R&D

被引:93
作者
Ouyang, Min [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Calif Irvine, Irvine, CA 92623 USA
关键词
PRODUCTIVITY;
D O I
10.1162/REST_a_00076
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
We explore the link between short-run cycles and long-run growth by examining the cyclicality of R&D. Existing theories propose that R&D is concentrated when output is low, but aggregate data repeatedly show that R&D appears procyclical. We estimate the relationship between R&D and output using an annual panel of twenty U.S. manufacturing industries from 1958 to 1998. The results indicate that R&D is in fact procyclical, but, interestingly, estimates using demand-shift instruments suggest that it responds asymmetrically to demand shocks. We propose that liquidity constraint is an important cause for the observed procyclicality of R&D.
引用
收藏
页码:542 / 553
页数:12
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